My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 95.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 98.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • This week, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.7 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 38.8% Target Share this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing attack usage over last season's 24.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteable reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.6% rate.
  • This year, the formidable Cardinals defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.3 yards.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™