Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

NFL · Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
The Commanders defense has been torched for the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (195.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 9.64 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
With a poor 6.8 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the worst WRs in the NFL in the league.
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in the league in the open field.

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