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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 78.0% to 82.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all running backs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 93rd percentile for red zone carries this year, taking on 71.4% of the usage in his team's ground game near the goal line.
  • The model projects Javonte Williams to be a less important option in his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's game (11.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (19.5% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the lowly 11th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a fantastic rate of 0.86 rushing touchdowns per game (98th percentile), Javonte Williams rates as one of the best rushing touchdown-scorers in football this year.

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