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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Javonte Williams's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 78.0% to 94.1%.
  • The New York Jets defense has been torched for the 8th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to RBs: 0.25 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Javonte Williams has garnered 62.5% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Javonte Williams has accumulated a paltry -10.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams's 13.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 18.4.

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