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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-174/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • Javonte Williams grades out in the 84th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.13 per game.
  • This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Javonte Williams has received 67.6% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams has posted a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 10th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Javonte Williams's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 18.4.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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