My Account Log Out
 
 
Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-138/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (59.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.40 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.15 per game through the air (88th percentile), Javonte Williams stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 5 points.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams grades out in the 96th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 71.9% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • Javonte Williams has posted a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile among RBs.
  • Javonte Williams's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 18.4.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™