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Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-124/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Javonte Williams has been given 73.6% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In regards to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the lowly 14th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.

Javonte Williams's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 18.4.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.

With an impressive ratio of 0.67 TDs on the ground per game (96th percentile), Javonte Williams stands among the top rushing touchdown-scorers in football this year.

More Javonte Williams Player Props

Javonte Williams TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

Javonte Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14