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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the model to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.2 rush attempts.
  • After comprising 32.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Javonte Williams has been called on more in the run game this season, currently accounting for 68.2%.
  • Javonte Williams has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (87.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).
  • Javonte Williams's 5.5 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a material growth in his rushing skills over last year's 3.8 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • The model projects the Cowboys as the 4th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Broncos defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Denver's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

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