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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • The model projects Javonte Williams to accumulate 17.5 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After accounting for 32.9% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has had a larger role in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 68.5%.
  • Javonte Williams has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (79.0) this season than he did last season (31.0).
  • Javonte Williams's rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 5.02 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.78 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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