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Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to accrue 16.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.After making up 32.9% of his team's carries last season, Javonte Williams has had a larger role in the run game this season, now comprising 67.8%.Javonte Williams's 82.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a significant gain in his running ability over last season's 31.0 mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.This year, the porous Detroit Lions run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 24th-highest rate in the NFL.As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Detroit's LB corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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