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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
  • Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (58.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.1%).
  • Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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