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Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is expected by the model to slot into the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.With a top-tier 12.2% Target Share (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.With a fantastic 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams rates among the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
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