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Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential target this year (57.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.1%).The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.This year, the fierce Chargers defense has given up a measly 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-best rate in the league.When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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