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Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.40 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential target this season (57.4% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.1%).

The model projects Javonte Williams to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 5 points.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.7%) vs. running backs this year (75.7%).

More Javonte Williams Player Props

Javonte Williams ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15