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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Javonte Williams has gone out for more passes this year (59.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.1%).
  • The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to notch 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Javonte Williams rates as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • This year, the imposing Raiders defense has allowed a puny 79.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 10th-best rate in football.

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