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Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.

Javonte Williams ranks as one of the leading pass-catching running backs last year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense last year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

While Javonte Williams has accounted for 12.4% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Dallas's passing offense in this week's contest at 7.0%.

The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

With a lackluster 78.1% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams rates among the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

More Javonte Williams Player Props

Javonte Williams ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 1