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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The projections expect Javonte Williams to garner 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Javonte Williams checks in as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

Javonte Williams's 16.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 24.1.

This year, the strong Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a mere 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

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