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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
  • Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (58.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Javonte Williams has notched a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Javonte Williams's 13.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 19.0 figure.
  • Javonte Williams's 3.5 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a remarkable drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 5.0 mark.

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