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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).
  • Javonte Williams has run more routes this season (58.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.1%).
  • Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to garner 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 78.0% to 94.5%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Javonte Williams has compiled a measly -8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile among running backs.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

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