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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential target this year (57.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.1%).
  • The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Javonte Williams has accrued a meager -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Javonte Williams's 10.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 19.0 rate.

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