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Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -103.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In regards to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the lowly 14th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.Javonte Williams has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).Javonte Williams's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 3.79 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 4.96 rate last season.Javonte Williams's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.27 rate last season.
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