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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Javonte Williams's 58.5% Route Participation% this season signifies a meaningful gain in his passing offense workload over last season's 44.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Javonte Williams has compiled a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Javonte Williams has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
  • Javonte Williams's 3.3 adjusted yards per target this year marks a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.0 rate.

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