Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Javonte Williams has been among the best running backs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a stellar 9.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (46.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown poor efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, conceding 6.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this week (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.8% in games he has played).

More Javonte Williams Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow