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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • The model projects Javonte Williams to notch 16.1 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • Javonte Williams has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (66.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (32.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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