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Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 5 points.The predictive model expects the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.40 seconds per play.The model projects Javonte Williams to notch 18.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.After taking on 32.9% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has played a bigger part in the run game this year, currently sitting at 68.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 40.4% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Minnesota's group of DTs has been great this year, grading out as the best in football.
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