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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accrue 15.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After making up 32.9% of his team's rush attempts last season, Javonte Williams has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 67.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run on 37.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Chiefs linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

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