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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 15.8 carries.
  • Javonte Williams has been a more important option in his team's run game this season (67.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (32.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 5th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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