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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.
  • Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league last year with their run defense.

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