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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • With a high 17.9% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jauan Jennings places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 45.7% red zone run rate.
  • After accumulating 80.0 air yards per game last year, Jauan Jennings has produced significantly fewer this year, now boasting 64.0 per game.
  • Jauan Jennings's 44.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 59.7.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jauan Jennings's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 70.1% to 54.2%.

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