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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Jauan Jennings has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (80.0 per game).
  • Jauan Jennings's 40.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 59.7.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jauan Jennings's 52.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a material drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 70.1% figure.

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