My Account Log Out
 
 
Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-280).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +280 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in football (0.40 per game) versus the Falcons defense this year.
  • The Falcons safeties profile as the best safety corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.6% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • After totaling 80.0 air yards per game last year, Jauan Jennings has seen a big decline this year, currently averaging 56.0 per game.
  • Jauan Jennings's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 59.7.
  • Jauan Jennings's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 51.1%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™