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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 49ers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 64.2 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy team in football in the red zone (45.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the 49ers.
  • Jauan Jennings's 42.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 59.7.
  • Jauan Jennings's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 70.1% to 54.2%.
  • The Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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