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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Brock Purdy this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

With a 62.9% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the 49ers.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jauan Jennings's 42.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 59.7.

Jauan Jennings's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 53.9%.

Since the start of last season, the stout Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a measly 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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