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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Brock Purdy.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to air yards, Jauan Jennings grades out in the towering 86th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a striking 79.0 per game.
  • Jauan Jennings places in the 83rd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 58.3 mark since the start of last season.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.39 per game through the air (83rd percentile), Jauan Jennings places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among wideouts since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 9th-most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (45.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Right now, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Jauan Jennings's 53.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.1% mark.

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