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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.3% this year, which puts him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With a stellar ratio of 0.56 per game through the air (96th percentile), Jauan Jennings places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.
  • This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a puny 0.56 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Jauan Jennings has posted quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (80.0 per game).
  • Jauan Jennings's 46.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 59.7.
  • Jauan Jennings's 64.6% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.1% mark.

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