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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Jauan Jennings grades out in the 94th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • After accruing 80.0 air yards per game last season, Jauan Jennings has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 66.0 per game.
  • Jauan Jennings's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 59.7.

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