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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jauan Jennings has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.2% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 0.42 per game through the air (86th percentile), Jauan Jennings rates among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football among WRs this year.
  • The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) vs. WRs this year (70.9%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Jauan Jennings has put up far fewer air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (80.0 per game).
  • Jauan Jennings's 50.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 59.7.

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