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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+121/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Jauan Jennings to notch 7.8 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jauan Jennings has been much less involved in his offense's passing offense this year (18.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (25.3%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jauan Jennings's receiving talent has tailed off this year, accumulating just 2.7 adjusted receptions vs 5.2 last year.
  • Jauan Jennings's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 70.1% to 54.2%.
  • As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, New York's group of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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