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Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.

The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.

The Falcons cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.

Jauan Jennings has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).

Jauan Jennings's 2.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.2 rate.

Jauan Jennings's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 51.1%.

The Falcons pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (68.1%).

More Jauan Jennings Player Props

Jauan Jennings ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 7