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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Brock Purdy.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
  • With an excellent 4.7 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Jauan Jennings places as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jauan Jennings to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass game in this week's contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.6% in games he has played).
  • Jauan Jennings's 53.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.1% mark.

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