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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Jauan Jennings is predicted by the projections to slot into the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.6 targets.
  • The Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) versus wide receivers this year (68.4%).
  • The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this season (19.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.3%).
  • Jauan Jennings's receiving skills have diminished this year, accumulating a measly 3.4 adjusted receptions vs 5.2 last year.

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