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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Jauan Jennings to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Jauan Jennings's 20.1% Target% this season conveys a material diminishment in his air attack volume over last season's 25.3% rate.
  • Jauan Jennings's play as a receiver has worsened this year, notching just 3.3 adjusted catches vs 5.2 last year.

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