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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+117/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jauan Jennings is projected by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
  • The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) vs. WRs this year (70.9%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a less important option in his team's pass game this season (20.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
  • Jauan Jennings's receiving talent has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 3.6 adjusted catches compared to 5.2 last year.

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