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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+145/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Jauan Jennings to total 7.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Jauan Jennings's 19.4% Target Share this year marks a meaningful decline in his air attack volume over last year's 25.3% rate.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Jauan Jennings's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this season marks an impressive decline in his receiving talent over last season's 5.2 rate.
  • Jauan Jennings's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 70.1% to 59.7%.

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