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Jauan Jennings

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • The Falcons cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Jauan Jennings has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
  • After totaling 80.0 air yards per game last year, Jauan Jennings has seen a big decline this year, currently averaging 56.0 per game.
  • Jauan Jennings has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).
  • Jauan Jennings's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 51.1%.

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