Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jauan Jennings has been less involved as a potential target this year (54.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (41.1%).
Jauan Jennings has accrued far more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
Jauan Jennings's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 2.17 mark last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (164.0) to WRs this year.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jauan Jennings has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a mere 7.49 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 21st percentile among wideouts
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in football.

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