Jason Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jason Moore

NFL · Player Props

Jason Moore

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jason Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.7%) vs. WRs this year (70.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 9.15 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Jason Moore has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of just 1.0% this year, which places him in the 5th percentile among wideouts.
Jason Moore has totaled a measly 5.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

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