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Jarvis Landry

Jarvis Landry Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Jarvis Landry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

Jarvis Landry has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.6%).

Jarvis Landry's pass-catching performance worsened this season, totaling just 3.1 yards per game compared to 4.5 last season.

More Jarvis Landry Player Props

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