Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jarvis Landry

NFL · Player Props

Jarvis Landry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 3:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarvis Landry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Jarvis Landry's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 68.6% to 77.0%.
Jarvis Landry's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, compiling 8.68 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.58 figure last year.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Jarvis Landry has been much less involved in his team's passing attack this year (14.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.8%).
Jarvis Landry has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (49.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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