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Jarrett Stidham

Jarrett Stidham TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jarrett Stidham TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Broncos rank as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 55.9% red zone pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a massive 29.44 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense profiles as the 3rd-slowest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
  • As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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